February 25, 2025
By Cesar Castro

Discover how AI and Web3 are shaping the future of the metaverse. This CEO-focused guide explores strategies, business models, and the open vs. closed metaverse debate to help you navigate the next digital frontier to drive future success.
Introduction
The concept of the metaverse has captured the imagination of tech leaders, investors, and businesses alike. I recently had the opportunity to delve into the “Metaverse Wars – Future of the Internet Study Case” and engage in thought-provoking discussions about what this emerging digital frontier means for businesses with Professor Andy Wu and a cohort of 180 experienced CEOs during the 2025 YPO HBS President program.
While the metaverse presents an exciting vision of immersive, three-dimensional experiences powered by AI, blockchain, and Web3, the road ahead is filled with strategic decisions that will shape its evolution. Through this article, I aim to provide insights, learnings, and reflections that will help CEOs and senior executives navigate this transformational shift.
The Metaverse: The Next Internet Revolution or an Overhyped Fantasy?
Understanding the Metaverse Landscape
The metaverse is often described as the next evolution of the internet, offering immersive digital environments where users can interact, work, play, and even conduct business. While some see it as a natural progression of the internet, others question whether it will truly replace or enhance our digital experiences.
From my analysis of the case study, three primary pillars define the metaverse:
1. Immersive Digital Spaces: 3D environments powered by AR, VR, and AI.
2. Digital Economies: Virtual goods, NFTs, and decentralized finance (DeFi).
3. Interoperability & Ownership: Users can carry Blockchain-backed digital assets across platforms.
Blockchain is revolutionizing industries beyond the metaverse. See how it’s driving innovation in pharma and cannabis sectors here.
According to McKinsey & Company, the metaverse market is projected to reach $5 trillion by 2030, with retail, gaming, and enterprise applications leading the way. Companies like Meta, Apple, Microsoft, and Nvidia invest heavily in this vision, but adoption remains slow due to technological, financial, and societal hurdles.
Strategic Debate: Open vs. Closed Metaverse
A key debate within the metaverse ecosystem is whether it should be an open, decentralized system (like the internet today) or a closed, walled-garden ecosystem (like app stores and social media platforms).
– Open Metaverse: Promotes interoperability, user freedom, and innovation (e.g., Epic Games, Nvidia).
– Closed Metaverse: Allows for greater monetization and control but limits user autonomy (e.g., Apple, Meta).
The choice between these models will impact business monetization, user adoption, and long-term viability. History suggests that open systems often win (think the Internet vs. AOL), but closed systems dominate profitability (think Apple’s App Store).
Key Reflection for Business Leaders:
– Should your company invest in an open ecosystem, risk profitability challenges, or partner with a closed system for immediate returns?
– How will regulatory pressures and Web3 decentralization trends influence the dominant model?
Monetization & Business Models: Where’s the Money?
The case study highlights several revenue models companies are exploring in the metaverse:
Model | Examples |
Virtual Goods & NFTs | Nike’s Cryptokicks (Forkast), Balenciaga in Fortnite. |
Subscription Models | Premium access to virtual spaces |
Advertising & Sponsorships | Virtual concerts (e.g., Travis Scott in Fortnite) (Business Insider). |
Enterprise Solutions | Digital twins used by BMW and Siemens (Nvidia). |
However, a major challenge is proving real value beyond hype. Many businesses are experimenting, but few have found scalable and profitable models.
Key Reflection for Business Leaders:
– Which monetization models align with your industry?
– How can AI and automation enhance profitability?
AI’s Role in Metaverse Adoption
AI is not just a complementary tool; it’s a critical enabler of the metaverse. From enhancing virtual environments to automating interactions, AI plays a pivotal role in adoption.
Are you curious about how AI is transforming businesses beyond the metaverse? Discover real-world strategies for AI adoption in mid-market companies here.
AI-Driven Enhancements:
1. Hyper-realistic Avatars: AI can create life-like avatars with dynamic facial expressions.
2. Automated Content Generation: AI can build expansive virtual worlds in real time.
3. Interoperability & Security: AI-powered fraud detection and content moderation ensure safe virtual experiences.
MIT Technology Review highlights that AI is instrumental in metaverse security and content moderation. The intersection of AI and the metaverse creates new business opportunities, especially in customer experience, automation, and digital asset security.
Key Reflection for Business Leaders:
– How can AI accelerate your company’s adoption of the metaverse?
– How do AI and blockchain work together to enhance security and interoperability?
Lessons from the Past: Parallels to the Internet’s Early Days
One of the most striking aspects of this study is the comparison between early internet skepticism and today’s metaverse doubts.
– In 1995, Clifford Stoll argued that e-commerce would never take off. Today, Amazon dominates retail.
– Skeptics once dismissed social media, remote work, and digital payments—all of which are now ubiquitous.
– Much like the early internet, the metaverse still lacks a killer application that will drive mass adoption.
Key Reflection for Business Leaders:
– Today’s metaverse may seem overhyped but dismissing it entirely could be a mistake.
– The companies that experiment early may be the ones that dominate when mass adoption occurs.
Strategic Takeaways for Senior Executives
1. The Metaverse Is a Long-Term Play – Expect widespread adoption over the next decade.
2. Hybrid Strategies Will Likely Win – Balancing innovation and monetization is key.
3. AI and Web3 Are Essential Enablers – Ignoring AI and blockchain in your metaverse strategy could leave your company behind.
4. The Metaverse’s “Killer App” Has Yet to Emerge – Gaming, enterprise training, and digital twins are the most promising.
5. The Regulatory Landscape Will Evolve – Prepare for shifting regulations affecting digital ownership and taxation.
Conclusion: Preparing for the Future
The metaverse represents both an opportunity and a challenge. Business leaders must strike a balance between bold experimentation and strategic patience. While some elements of the metaverse may take longer to materialize, the foundational shifts in AI, digital ownership, and immersive experiences are already reshaping industries.
The question is no longer “Will the metaverse happen?” but rather “How will you position your business to lead in this new digital era?”